
Hi Fans,
Harris Bornstein, creator of the awesome iBetFootball app, has joined our panel of esteemed NFL Experts. What? You haven't bought the iBetFootball App? What are you waiting for? It's week 4 of the NFL season, and teams are beginning to show their true colors. In the immortal words of Coach Denny Green "[name an NFL team] are who we thought they were!" That's perfect for iBetFootball, because it functions on past stats and proprietary calculations to determine if the current betting line is worth betting on or not. In other words, you actually have a chance against the book if you use Harris's system.
Here's some more great info on iBetFootball, and Harris's web application found on his website www.footballbet.net
Pro Football Forecast Betting Handicapping Software Engine and iBetFootball Systems
INTRODUCTION
This is the seventh year that the Engine has been available to the public on the internet and the first year for the iBetFootball app each year the sales and satisfaction grow. I wanted to give you a bit of background regarding the Engine as well as speak a little about football betting in general. The Pro Football Forecast Betting Handicapping Software Engine started out as an idea and developed into a system about 16 years ago, before everything became so computerized. The core of the system has been remained similar to its origin, but has been refined and improved over the years by analyzing different factors and computing their affect on the outcome of games. About 11 years ago I coded the Pro Football Forecast Betting Handicapping Software Engine into a BASIC program for my own use. It remained in this state until about 8 years ago when I again transformed the program into an excel spreadsheet which enabled much greater flexibility in analysis of factors, which in turn enabled a greater winning percentage to emerge. This type of regression analysis over the past 7 years or so has fine-tuned the Pro Football Forecast Betting Handicapping Software Engine into the product that it is today.
THE SYSTEM
The first step used by the System in analyzing each game is to use key offensive and defensive statistics (which are easily available in the newspaper or on the internet) to calculate a Predicted Score for each game. The exact calculation method and weighted factors that produces this predicted score is the basis of the Pro Football Forecast Betting Handicapping Software Engine and so I am not able to discuss exactly how it is calculated, however I can give you a brief description. The Pro Football Forecast Betting Handicapping Software Engine quantifies the offensive efficiency of each team as well as their defensive efficiency, and how these key statistics relate to each other and the results are translated into points.
In addition, other important statistical factors come into play when evaluating football games. This system can examine blowout scores to see if they are a result of simply a better team, or in fact were lucky bounces that occurred via turnovers. In fact, in 75% of NFL games from recent history the team that covered the spread was the team that had a better turnover differential. Another important trend factor analyzed is a rolling strength team power rating where trends of wins or losses can be a helpful predictor of future games. There is also a home field advantage factor that is added to the statistical mix as well. All these factors are combined to compute the Predicted Score which is then compared with the betting line point spread to see if any discrepancies can be discerned and to see if the point spread is accurate, or if it has been swayed by misguided public opinion or money hungry oddsmakers.
WINNING PERCENTAGE
Using the Pro Football Forecast Betting Handicapping Software Engine and iBetFootball has allowed me to achieve a winning percentage against the point spread of over 60% overall in the past 7 seasons. For instance, in 2004, the System went 72.9% best bet winners straight-up and 61.3% on best bets against the spread. In 2005 the System went 76.2% winners straight up for best bets. In 2006 it was another profitable year for the system going 58.3% versus the spread and 79.4% in straight up best bets. 2007 results were 64.7% best bets versus the spread and 80.8% best bets straight up. 2008 results were 67.2% best bets versus the spread and 78.4% best bets straight up! See the year to date results on our website, we are proud of our results!
SPREADHEET PROGRAM
The statistical factors for each team are downloaded into the Premium system by the user each week. The stat file is available each Wednesday night by 11 PM from our website. This download takes approximately one minute and then all you have left to do is select the teams that are playing the games that day (which should take 1 minute) and ALL THE PREDICTED SCORES AND RESULTS ARE AUTOMATICALLY CALCULATED! Nothing could be easier! Of course, automated scoring keeps track of weekly wins and over/under results as well as year to date results. There is also a betting ledger to keep track of your monetary success and charts and graphs showing team statistical data comparisons.
iBETFOOTBALL APP
iBetFootball PRO is a simple to use Professional Football Handicapping iPhone/iPod Touch application that downloads weekly statistics from our website and computes predicted scores for upcoming pro football games! Enjoy a 60% or GREATER win percentage on best bets versus the spread using this system which is also great for Parlay bets and Under/Over bets too!
This app is NOT a game or a simulation, it is a tool to help you pick winners, beat the point spread and win big money! This application is a direct translation of the successful pro football handicapping system that has been available for the last seven years at www.footballbet.net and uses the exact same winning formulas. It analyzes the most statistically relevant team factors and uses them to compute a predicted final score for each team. The statistics for each game takes about one minute to enter into the application. After both team's data has been entered and saved, the predicted final score result of the game and a betting analysis appears on the Results screen. Comparing the predicted final score to the point spread will show you the games that have the greatest variance, and therefore the greatest chance of being a winning wager! Using this application, we can predict what is most likely to occur and determine if the expected point difference is different than the published point spread, thus highlighting money making betting opportunities.
SUMMARY
There are many different statistics in football but only a few of them are the critical ones that determine the outcome of games! The Pro Football Forecast Betting Handicap Software Engine analyzes the most important statistical factors that affect a game's outcome and zeroes in on the games that show the greatest differential between the point spread and your predicted outcome. These are the games to bet on! We have been providing this service on the internet for over 7 years and have had many satisifed clients who have returned each year to renew our Premium Service. Please consider the Professional Football Handicapping Engine, I know you will find it one of the best investments that you have ever made.
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